On Saturday, December 29, Jon Jones and Alexander Gustafsson will meet in a rematch. The bout, which serves as the main event of UFC 232 will determine the UFC light heavyweight champion.
UFC 232 takes place at The Forum in Inglewood, California.
In their first meeting, Jones won a tightly contested decision.
Here are a look at the prop bets for the bout as assembled by 5dimes.
Will the fight go the distance?
Judging by their first matchup, I would say the safe bet here is to go with yes. The two went five hard-fought rounds at UFC 165 with Jones winning 48-47, 48-47 and 49-46. It wouldn’t have been a surprise to see those same scores go the other way, the fight was that close.
Will Gustafsson win inside the distance?
If Gustafsson does win, I think he does so by stoppage and while I don’t think he will do so, if I was putting money down on Gustafsson, this is where I would do it.
Will Gustafsson win by decision?
While I would like to pick Gustafsson, I just can’t pull the trigger. I think Jones has too much to prove in this fight and with that I can say I don’t know what game plan the former champ will employ against his opponent, I also don’t think Gustafsson will defeat Jones if the fight goes the distance.
Will Jones win inside the distance?
Jones was unable to finish Gustafsson in their first battle and heading into this fight he has a lot more pressure on him. He’s no longer the champ, he caused the entire event to be moved from Las Vegas to California. He seems to have a lot of people just waiting to see him fail. With that I don’t know if we’ll see the normal flashy style from Jones. Because of that I just don’t see him finishing this fight.
Will Jones wins by decision?
As I mentioned above, the first meeting between the two was very close and I think this is the safe bet, Jones by decision.
Will the fight end in a draw?
Hey, if you have some money you don’t want to see again, why not bet it on a draw? The payoff might be worth it.
Will Gustafsson win by submission?
Any other result: -6425
Gustafsson has three submission wins in his career. The most recent came in 2011when he tapped James Te Huna on the prelims of UFC 127. The odds are very slim he’ll submit Jones.
Will Gustafsson win by TKO/KO?
Any other result: -1675
Like I said above. If Gustafsson does get a finish, this is the way he’ll get it done. There’s a chance Jones could come out reckless with all the pressure he is facing. If he does that it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Gustafsson catch him and finish him. Gustafsson has 11 career knockout wins. As far as the odds go, it’s a risky bet.
Will Jones win by submission?
Any other result: -455
Gustafsson has not been submitted since his first pro bout and judging from their first meeting, which had zero submission attempts, I don’t think this happens.
Will Jones win by TKO/KO?
Any other result: -400
Jones is one of the best strikers in the UFC. He can get things done with a wide variety of strikes, but if he didn’t finish Gustafsson in the first fight, I don’t think he does so in this one either.
Will Gustafsson win by unanimous decision?
Any other result: -930
While I’m going to side with Jones in this fight, I wouldn’t be unwilling to go with my heart and put something down on Gustafsson by decision.
Will Gustafsson wins split or majority decision?
Any other result: -1708
Would I be surprised to see a split decision or a majority decision? No, I would not.
Will Jones wins by unanimous decision?
Any other result: -406
I think this is how this one ends. Am I supremely confident in that pick? No, no, I’m not.
Will Jones win by split or majority decision?
Any other result: -2750
See above where I discuss Gustafsson winning in this manner.